Sir Ray Avery joined Sean Plunket to question the statistical modeling the Government uses to decide New Zealand’s alert levels during level three.
Sir Avery says there is “great danger” in taking overseas statistics and reactions to Covid-19 and applying it to New Zealand.
He believes it is based on false data and New Zealand needs to “have another look at the numbers,” as our population is different.
We’ve only ever erected one disease globally, and that’s smallpox.
Sean asks him whether we could eliminate the disease from New Zealand, to which Sir Avery replies if we kept testing people and kept the lockdown going for “a period of a year or more,” perhaps, although “the social effects would be enormous.”
“It's a false premise that you’re going to eradicate the disease,” Sir Avery goes on to say, “you’re never going to do that anyway.”
Locking us all up and stopping us from getting KFC isn't going to stop the problem.
‘It's wrong and unitanabe, Sir Avery states, “there's no way you're going to eradicate this disease in New Zealand without closing the borders for a year and a half.”
On the opening of other businesses in level three, Sir Avery says;
There's no difference between going to a supermarket and going to bunnings
“What makes us human is a collectiveness and ability to share and love and look after eachother.”
Sean points out that what Sir Avery describes is contradicted by the government, so does he believe the greater risk is economical or medical?
“It’s not as simple as that,’ Sir Avery describes it’s more a social disaster.
One in five kids are going to school hungry right now, Sir Avery tells Sean, and his message to New Zealand is “we’ve got to look after eachother.”
“We don't have evidence at the moment to suggest we do have a pandemic.”
Listen to the full interview above.